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Will Romney win the popular vote but lose the electoral college?

That unlikely prospect is on the minds of some pundits and Twitter users today:

David Jackson, writing in USA Today:

Expect to hear more and more talk that one of the presidential candidates could win more votes — but lose the White House because the opponent wins the Electoral College.

As it stands now, Mitt Romney leads President Obama in the popular vote — 47.7% vs. 46.7% — according to the average of polls complied by the RealClearPolitics website.

But, according to averages of polls in individual states, Obama right now leads in those states with a total of 294 electoral votes, compared with 244 for Romney, according to RealClearPolitics.

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https://twitter.com/jeffspross/status/259319024633143296

Well, anything is possible, of course, but this outcome doesn’t seem likely. If Romney does well enough nationally to win the popular vote, he’ll probably win enough toss-up states (e.g., Florida, Virginia, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado, New Hampshire) to carry the electoral college, too.

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Anyway, the rules are clear: Whoever wins the electoral college wins the election.

(It would be much more interesting if there is a tie in the electoral college. Very unlikely, of course, but theoretically possible.)

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