Remember on Election Day 2016 when this was considered a conservative estimate?
Our latest polls-only forecast gives Clinton a 72% chance to win the presidency: https://t.co/2uB2oq8m9u pic.twitter.com/U5JB7MUK6B
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) November 8, 2016
Well, ABC News chief political analyst and independent Matthew Dowd knows for a fact that every Democrat running will be favored to beat President Donald Trump in 2020.
Since every Dem running will be favored to beat Trump in 2020, maybe the focus of primary voters should not be on who is most electable, but who would make best President in this moment of incivility and division.
— Matthew Dowd (@matthewjdowd) January 12, 2019
In this moment of incivility and division? That’s a good way of putting it. Or, as newly seated Rep. Rashida Tlaib put it, “We’re gonna impeach that motherf**ker!” To give Dowd credit, though, he did call for Tlaib to apologize — and got dragged big time by his followers.
We like this tweet because it’s a great reminder that even though Republicans are divided into #MAGA and #NeverTrump camps who will face the ballot box in 2020, Democrats aren’t exactly united either. Do you vote for the “electable” candidate in an environment in which Democratic Socialist Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was electable?
Do you mean someone who would lead with a healing temperament? I observe the incivility and division to be mostly manufactured and cajoled from one direction.
— Allie (@alliegoldenpen) January 12, 2019
Yes, who can heal the country best.
— Matthew Dowd (@matthewjdowd) January 12, 2019
Nikki Haley?
Obama was the one who broke it.
— Lucas Jackson (@ScopareLibirali) January 12, 2019
It’s certainly something for Democrats to ponder … stay with an “electable” choice like Joe Biden (if he chooses to run) or go for a uniter, like, um … well …
Your premise is wrong. As bad as things are, Trump’s re-election is around 65%. Incumbents rarely lose, and when they do, it is because of a bad economy. Democrats aren’t even bothering to discuss how bad our economy is going.
— Nigel St. Hubbins ?? (@Nigel_StHubbins) January 12, 2019
Plus he has the Russians standing ready to post memes to Facebook.
I wouldn’t count on that. Didn’t we all think Hilary was going to win in a landslide. Who knew the Russians would install Trump?
— I’m Still With Beto (@jdonahue1964) January 12, 2019
Core problem is not 'incivility and division.' It is that one party is under heavy ongoing influence by a foreign power and has become irredeemably corrupt.
The new president must restore our core institutions and commitment to democracy and rule of law.
— PublicSquare (@wesgeorgia951) January 12, 2019
Unless voting is paper ballots only all talk here is folly
— MEB1031 (@BrownlieChiro) January 12, 2019
I don’t want a candidate that will be favored to beat Trump but one that will beat Trump. There is a difference (see 2016 election).
— Shawn Rogers (@srogers913) January 12, 2019
Why would anyone want to try to unite with the people who support President Vendetta?
They need an act of personal contrition, otherwise just leave them. I don't want them on the team.
— Stephen M Carter (@StephenMCarter4) January 12, 2019
Yeah no.
We Dems played nice with you GOPers and let you deny being for the rich and secretly racists for decades and then you gave us Trump
The #BlueWave wasnt about winning over white soccer moms it was about empowering women and minorities, theres more of us leftists than you.— JAIL TRUMP (@CatDaddyLV) January 12, 2019
When was it again that Democrats played nice with Republicans? When Harry Reid’s friend told him Mitt Romney hadn’t paid his taxes in years?
Attempting to focus on electability may be worst path to victory.
Carter, Clinton, and Obama were not viewed as electable before primaries.
Mondale (VP), Dukakis (Mass gov), Gore (VP/Southern Dem), Kerry (Military), Clinton (woman) were all pushed as most electable, all lost.
— DavidDunn (@ImDavidDunn) January 12, 2019
We tried polls & who would be better, we lost.
— Lisa (@Lga911Kelly) January 12, 2019
Good idea. Who do you think that is? (Hint: it’s Beto)
— Quint (@QuintOlsen) January 12, 2019
Klobuchar. The 2020 reboot of “Sense and Sensibility”
— MrRavini (@MrRavini) January 12, 2019
May not offer glitz and glamour of others but Amy Klobuchar is solid, real, civil, and consensus building.
— Dan (@daninsacramento) January 12, 2019
Castro is the guy.
— Gary Bostwick (@tallskinnyguy) January 12, 2019
Biden/Harris 2020, Harris/O’Rourke 2024
— leslie woods (@law638) January 12, 2019
It’s a choice between and needs to include at least one of these @amyklobuchar @JoaquinCastrotx @AndrewGillum @RepJoeKennedy
— Annie M (@AnnieMendelsohn) January 12, 2019
Hint: it’s not Tulsi https://t.co/OgN8CqXdjE
— 4thCornerGirl (@4thcornergal) January 12, 2019
But how is everyone running favoured? The polls dont show that at all
— Noah H. (@NoahHeijnen) January 12, 2019
I don't think everyone running is favored to beat Trump and this kind of arrogance is what got us Trump in the first place.
— Kevin Deal (@kevinjdeal) January 12, 2019
Nope. It’s who is most electable. Can not take chances. We can’t afford it.
— Mike in Jax (@kayakphish) January 12, 2019
Ok, but what are the odds we all agree on who that is?
— Quint (@QuintOlsen) January 12, 2019
Hopefully we can at least agree on someone that half the country doesn’t already hate.
— Mike in Jax (@kayakphish) January 12, 2019
No
Democrats have to focus on the electoral college. Win Florida, Ohio, Texas.— Tim O'Neill (@TimONeill49) January 13, 2019
We should have a do-over. Bring Obama back until a new and legit election can be run. And, if not that scenario, we should put the rightful and duly elected by the people, president in office, HILLARY!!!!
— Marsha Wood (@marshawoo) January 12, 2019
Wouldn’t Michelle Obama be the Democrat with the most electability? She has the highest approval rating of any of them. Unfortunately, she’ll never run.
— Jennifer T. Senick (@carebear021781) January 12, 2019
If Trump is *allowed* to run in 2020, I quit. I'm done. ?
— KK Garrett ? ? ??? ? (@SpazzyKK) January 12, 2019
Wow, you have learned nothing.
— Paul Atkinson (@patkin3577) January 12, 2019
Matt is a GOP hack who's pretending to be a third way independent
He can't be trusted
— Dander Bogaerts (@Dander_Bogaerts) January 12, 2019
Hear that, Dowd? You’re a GOP hack.
We will save this tweet worthy of @BillKristol at his most clairvoyant. https://t.co/fYD27oNRr0
— Matthew A. Duda (@nnw59) January 12, 2019
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